Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 Konyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.54
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.77
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.25
X/2
12%
7.42
X/X
19%
4.01
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
7%
6.06
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.57/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.41
+51% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.0 Crosses 16.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Konyaspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.14 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
387 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
03.06.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
08.01.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-3 HT 2-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
30.04.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
08.02.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 5-4 HT 2-2 Konyaspor Konyaspor TÜK
11.12.2021 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-4 HT 1-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
1-1
AWAY Konyaspor
0.88 xG 0.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
414 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Konyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük and Konyaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fatih Karagümrük at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 58% of the ball to Konyaspor's 42%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.88 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 2.33 for Konyaspor.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Konyaspor?

Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 Konyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Konyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 46%, draw 30%, Konyaspor 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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