Pendikspor 1-0 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.17 — our 27% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
21%
4.07
X/2
12%
10.4
X/X
11%
5.45
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
12%
7.69
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
Crosses 13.8
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
2W-0D-3L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
3.03 xG 2.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
26 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
254 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-4 HT 1-2 Pendikspor Pendikspor TSL
15.01.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-2 HT 0-2 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor S2-B
03.09.2016 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
06.03.2016 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor S2-B
24.10.2015 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
1-0
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.66 xG 0.21
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
375 Passes 169
78% Pass Accuracy 59%
28 Box Touches 4
28 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor edged past İstanbulspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pendikspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pendikspor had 64% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 36%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 1.66 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pendikspor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pendikspor and 1.40 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor?

Pendikspor 1-0 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Super League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 48%, draw 23%, İstanbulspor 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pendikspor) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✗ Over 2.5
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