BUL 0-1 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

BUL
0-1 HT 0-1
SC Villa
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

BUL vs SC Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.81
No
63%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-14.1pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BUL v SC Villa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 33%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.55/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.98
+104% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

BUL 0-1 SC Villa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
0-1
AWAY SC Villa
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH BUL vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa edged past BUL 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was BUL at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BUL had 60% of the ball to SC Villa's 40%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of BUL vs SC Villa?

BUL 0-1 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split BUL 46%, draw 29%, SC Villa 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BUL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
15 Mar 2024
19:00 Vipers vs Kampala City Analysis →