Vipers 0-1 Kampala City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
15%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kampala City EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.40/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.49
+26% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kampala City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.12.2021 Vipers Vipers 2-2 HT 1-1 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
0-1
AWAY Kampala City
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vipers vs Kampala City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City nicked a narrow win over Vipers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vipers at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vipers had 50% of the ball to Kampala City's 50%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Vipers vs Kampala City?

Vipers 0-1 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs Kampala City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vipers 51%, draw 28%, Kampala City 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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