Ashton United 0-1 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.96/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.32
+22% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stockton Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Stockton Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
0-1
AWAY Stockton Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town edged past Ashton United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ashton United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ashton United had 47% of the ball to Stockton Town's 53%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Stockton Town?

Ashton United 0-1 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 41%, draw 28%, Stockton Town 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ashton United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ashton United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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