Whitby Town 1-0 Basford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Basford United EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.37/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.74
-21% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Basford United
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Basford United Basford United 3-4 HT 2-2 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
03.02.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
02.12.2023 Basford United Basford United 1-1 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
02.04.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Basford United Basford United 1-1 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Basford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Whitby Town edged past Basford United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Whitby Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Whitby Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Whitby Town and 1.00 for Basford United.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Basford United?

Whitby Town 1-0 Basford United in the England - Non League Premier on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Basford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 47%, draw 28%, Basford United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Whitby Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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