A. Bilbao (K) 0-1 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
56%
-23.1pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.5pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+13.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.63/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.19
+20% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.5 Crosses 17.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sevilla (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.96 xG 0.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
353 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 2-5 HT 1-3 A. Bilbao (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
16.06.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
0-1
AWAY Sevilla (K)
0.56 xG 1.02
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
448 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla (K) nicked a narrow win over A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Sevilla (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 63% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 37%, shots finished 8-3, expected goals 0.56 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, A. Bilbao (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for A. Bilbao (K) and 1.50 for Sevilla (K).

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 0-1 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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