Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.7pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -23%
1.59/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.38
+25% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
220 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2024 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 HT 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
13.04.2024 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
03.07.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 HT 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
18.09.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
09.05.2021 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
23.02.2020 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros squeezed past Agropecuario Argentino 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estudiantes Caseros as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 0.17 for Agropecuario Argentino.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 51%, draw 24%, Agropecuario Argentino 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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