Sydney (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 15 Mar 2025

Sydney (K)
2-1 HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix (K)
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.41/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.17
+22% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
16.8 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
226 Passes 293
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.12.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
17.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-4 HT 0-2 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW

Sydney (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
2-1
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.16 xG 1.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
197 Passes 323
60% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) squeezed past Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sydney (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 41% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 59%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.16 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sydney (K) and 2.00 for Wellington Phoenix (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Sydney (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 37%, draw 27%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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