Mostaganem 1-0 ES Setif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.33
Over 2.5
31%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
16%
7.86
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
72%
-3.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
28%
+3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Setif EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.20/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.30
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostaganem
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ES Setif
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.10.2024 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 0-0 Mostaganem Mostaganem CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostaganem
1-0
AWAY ES Setif
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mostaganem vs ES Setif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostaganem nicked a narrow win over ES Setif 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 35% / 26%) promised a tight game; Mostaganem found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mostaganem had 49% of the ball to ES Setif's 51%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Mostaganem vs ES Setif?

Mostaganem 1-0 ES Setif in the Algeria - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostaganem vs ES Setif?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostaganem win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mostaganem 39%, draw 35%, ES Setif 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mostaganem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mostaganem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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