ES Setif 1-0 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.45
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.5pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.46/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif nicked a narrow win over Mostaganem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ES Setif as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs Mostaganem?

ES Setif 1-0 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 47%, draw 32%, Mostaganem 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Setif), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Setif) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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