USM Khenchela 0-1 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
5.99
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.3pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -2%
0.97/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.87
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
1W-1D-3L
AWAY MC Alger
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
55% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
30.03.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-2 HT 0-2 MC Alger MC Alger CZYRK
16.12.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
30.05.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
21.10.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger squeezed past USM Khenchela 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; MC Alger found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, MC Alger led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.40 for MC Alger.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs MC Alger?

USM Khenchela 0-1 MC Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 35%, draw 33%, MC Alger 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (USM Khenchela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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