USM Khenchela 1-1 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

USM Khenchela
1-1 HT 1-1
MC Alger
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

USM Khenchela vs MC Alger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.32 — our 38% vs market 36.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USM Khenchela v MC Alger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 42%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -15%
1.57/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.98
+57% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

USM Khenchela vs MC Alger Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
1W-0D-3L
AWAY MC Alger
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-2 HT 0-2 MC Alger MC Alger CZYRK
16.12.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
30.05.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
21.10.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela and MC Alger shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, MC Alger led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.50 for MC Alger.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs MC Alger?

USM Khenchela 1-1 MC Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 36%, draw 32%, MC Alger 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (USM Khenchela), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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