Paradou 2-3 ASO Chlef — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.23
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradou EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY ASO Chlef EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
0.97/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.41
-26% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradou
1W-4D-1L
AWAY ASO Chlef
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2023 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 1-1 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
24.02.2023 Paradou Paradou 2-2 HT 0-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
10.09.2022 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 1-1 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
25.02.2022 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 0-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
23.10.2021 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 1-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
26.01.2021 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 2-1 HT 0-1 Paradou Paradou CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradou
2-3
AWAY ASO Chlef
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Paradou vs ASO Chlef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASO Chlef edged past Paradou 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Paradou at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paradou had 58% of the ball to ASO Chlef's 42%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paradou and 1.00 for ASO Chlef.

What was the final score of Paradou vs ASO Chlef?

Paradou 2-3 ASO Chlef in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradou vs ASO Chlef?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradou win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paradou 46%, draw 27%, ASO Chlef 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paradou) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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