Belouizdad 1-0 ES Ben Aknoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 34% vs market 28.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.75/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.61
+10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
424 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belouizdad
0W-1D-0L
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2023 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun 1-1 HT 0-1 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belouizdad
1-0
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belouizdad vs ES Ben Aknoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belouizdad edged past ES Ben Aknoun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Belouizdad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Belouizdad had 60% of the ball to ES Ben Aknoun's 40%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Belouizdad vs ES Ben Aknoun?

Belouizdad 1-0 ES Ben Aknoun in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belouizdad vs ES Ben Aknoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Belouizdad 53%, draw 25%, ES Ben Aknoun 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belouizdad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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