USM Khenchela 1-2 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
1W-0D-2L
AWAY MC Alger
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
30.05.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
21.10.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger squeezed past USM Khenchela 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; MC Alger found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, MC Alger led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.33 for MC Alger.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs MC Alger?

USM Khenchela 1-2 MC Alger in the Algeria - National Cup on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated an MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 34%, draw 26%, MC Alger 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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