Mostaganem 1-1 NA Hussein Dey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY NA Hussein Dey EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostaganem
1-1
AWAY NA Hussein Dey
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mostaganem vs NA Hussein Dey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostaganem and NA Hussein Dey shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mostaganem at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mostaganem had 51% of the ball to NA Hussein Dey's 49%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Mostaganem vs NA Hussein Dey?

Mostaganem 1-1 NA Hussein Dey in the Algeria - National Cup on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostaganem vs NA Hussein Dey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostaganem win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mostaganem 57%, draw 25%, NA Hussein Dey 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mostaganem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mostaganem) ✓ BTTS Yes
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