Yacoub El Mansour 3-0 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.0pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yacoub El Mansour EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
2.00/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.08
+62% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
243 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yacoub El Mansour
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.11.2024 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-2 Yacoub El Mansour FAS2
POST-MATCH Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yacoub El Mansour ran out comfortable winners over Chabab Ben Guerir 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yacoub El Mansour as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Yacoub El Mansour 3-0 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yacoub El Mansour win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yacoub El Mansour 47%, draw 28%, Chabab Ben Guerir 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yacoub El Mansour) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yacoub El Mansour) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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