Magesi 1-0 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.05
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.49
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magesi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 33%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
0.78/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.46
-14% / -79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
23.0 Crosses 17.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magesi
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Golden Arrows
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
119 Passes 373
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
26.09.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-1 HT 0-0 Magesi Magesi GAFPSL
25.09.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-1 Magesi Magesi GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magesi
1-0
AWAY Golden Arrows
0.21 xG 0.29
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 7
162 Passes 396
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Magesi vs Golden Arrows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magesi edged past Golden Arrows 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Magesi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Magesi had 33% of the ball to Golden Arrows's 67%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.21 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Magesi had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Magesi and 0.00 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of Magesi vs Golden Arrows?

Magesi 1-0 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magesi vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magesi win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Magesi 36%, draw 32%, Golden Arrows 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magesi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Magesi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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