Golden Arrows 0-1 Magesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.26
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.45
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Magesi EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+17% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.9 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Magesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magesi edged past Golden Arrows 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Golden Arrows at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Magesi?

Golden Arrows 0-1 Magesi in the South Afrika - Premier League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Magesi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Golden Arrows win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 41%, draw 30%, Magesi 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Golden Arrows) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Golden Arrows) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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