SuperSport United 1-0 TS Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
6.03
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.6pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.1pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.19/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.13
-6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
25.5 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SuperSport United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY TS Galaxy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
233 Passes 344
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-1 HT 0-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
01.11.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 2-3 HT 2-2 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
07.04.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-0 HT 1-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
14.08.2022 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 2-0 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
19.03.2022 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-1 HT 1-1 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
05.11.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-1 HT 0-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SuperSport United
1-0
AWAY TS Galaxy
0.31 xG 0.41
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
140 Passes 353
56% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SuperSport United vs TS Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United squeezed past TS Galaxy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day SuperSport United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, SuperSport United had 35% of the ball to TS Galaxy's 65%, shots finished 4-6, expected goals 0.31 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SuperSport United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SuperSport United and 1.17 for TS Galaxy.

What was the final score of SuperSport United vs TS Galaxy?

SuperSport United 1-0 TS Galaxy in the South Afrika - Premier League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SuperSport United vs TS Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SuperSport United 39%, draw 34%, TS Galaxy 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SuperSport United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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