AmaZulu 1-3 Kaizer Chiefs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
15%
6.71
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+1.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-1.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.5pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.18/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.97
+18% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.9 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AmaZulu
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
276 Passes 311
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 AmaZulu AmaZulu 1-1 HT 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
21.10.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAF8K
26.08.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 3-0 HT 1-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
13.01.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 4-0 HT 3-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
23.10.2022 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAF8K
02.10.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 HT 0-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AmaZulu
1-3
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.94 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
398 Passes 295
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AmaZulu vs Kaizer Chiefs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaizer Chiefs beat AmaZulu 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kaizer Chiefs found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AmaZulu had 56% of the ball to Kaizer Chiefs's 44%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.94 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AmaZulu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AmaZulu and 0.83 for Kaizer Chiefs.

What was the final score of AmaZulu vs Kaizer Chiefs?

AmaZulu 1-3 Kaizer Chiefs in the South Afrika - Premier League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AmaZulu vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AmaZulu 34%, draw 30%, Kaizer Chiefs 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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