Caersws 1-1 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 15 Mar 2025

Caersws
1-1 HT 0-0
Denbigh Town
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Caersws vs Denbigh Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.3pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caersws v Denbigh Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.42/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.05
-21% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
239 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Caersws vs Denbigh Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Denbigh Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
08.08.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 4-1 HT 3-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws and Denbigh Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Denbigh Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Caersws and 3.00 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Denbigh Town?

Caersws 1-1 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caersws 38%, draw 23%, Denbigh Town 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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