Denbigh Town 2-0 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.17
Over 2.5
70%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.32
No
30%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
9%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.4pp
30%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.1pp
70%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.1pp
70%
BTTS Yes
72%
-1.9pp
30%
BTTS No
28%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Caersws
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.08.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 4-1 HT 3-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town saw off Caersws 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Caersws at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (70%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Caersws?

Denbigh Town 2-0 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 28%, draw 27%, Caersws 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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