Goytre United 3-3 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.9pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goytre United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
277 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goytre United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.12.2021 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-3 HT 0-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
30.10.2021 Goytre United Goytre United 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Goytre United vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goytre United and Pontypridd Town AFC shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Goytre United and 1.00 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Goytre United vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Goytre United 3-3 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goytre United vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goytre United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Goytre United 38%, draw 26%, Pontypridd Town AFC 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Goytre United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Goytre United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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