Trefelin 3-1 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.2pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 39%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.35/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.22
-28% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
361 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.03.2024 Llantwit Major 3-1 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
09.09.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 3-3 HT 1-2 Llantwit Major GALFAW
04.03.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
30.07.2022 Llantwit Major 1-2 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
26.02.2022 Llantwit Major 2-1 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin beat Llantwit Major 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Trefelin and 2.00 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Llantwit Major?

Trefelin 3-1 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 43%, draw 25%, Llantwit Major 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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