Llanelli Town 1-1 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.63
Over 2.5
52%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.49
+5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13 Corners 3
16.03.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
18.08.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 4-3 HT 1-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
11.02.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
04.11.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
12.03.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town and Carmarthen Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Llanelli Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Llanelli Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Llanelli Town and 2.00 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Carmarthen Town?

Llanelli Town 1-1 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 50%, draw 23%, Carmarthen Town 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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