Carmarthen Town 0-1 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 54%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.21/1.16
-100% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Llanelli Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3 Corners 13
18.08.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 4-3 HT 1-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
11.02.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
04.11.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
12.03.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town squeezed past Carmarthen Town 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Carmarthen Town and 2.00 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli Town?

Carmarthen Town 0-1 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 29%, draw 20%, Llanelli Town 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
16 Mar 2024
17:00 Holywell vs Denbigh Town Analysis →
17:00 Caersws vs Prestatyn Town Analysis →
17:00 Pontardawe Town FC vs Trefelin Analysis →
17:00 Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic Analysis →
17:00 Chirk AAA vs Llandudno FC Analysis →
17:00 Baglan Dragons vs Abergavenny Town Analysis →