Chirk AAA 3-2 Llandudno FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.38
No
54%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
+0.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-1.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
68%
-22.7pp
54%
BTTS No
32%
+22.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chirk AAA EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Llandudno FC EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.93/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.95
-31% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chirk AAA
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Llandudno FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
10.11.2023 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC 4-1 HT 0-0 Chirk AAA Chirk AAA GALFAW
27.12.2022 Chirk AAA Chirk AAA 1-6 HT 1-2 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC GALFAW
28.10.2022 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC 3-1 HT 3-1 Chirk AAA Chirk AAA GALFAW
POST-MATCH Chirk AAA vs Llandudno FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chirk AAA edged past Llandudno FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Llandudno FC at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Llandudno FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chirk AAA and 4.33 for Llandudno FC.

What was the final score of Chirk AAA vs Llandudno FC?

Chirk AAA 3-2 Llandudno FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chirk AAA vs Llandudno FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llandudno FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chirk AAA 22%, draw 21%, Llandudno FC 57%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Llandudno FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llandudno FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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