Holywell 3-0 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Mar 2024

Holywell
3-0
Denbigh Town
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Holywell vs Denbigh Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
28%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
70%
-22.7pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.6pp
28%
Away Win
14%
+14.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holywell v Denbigh Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Holywell vs Denbigh Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Denbigh Town
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
8 Corners 4
The Meetings
18.08.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 1-5 HT 0-3 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell ran out comfortable winners over Denbigh Town 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Denbigh Town?

Holywell 3-0 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Holywell 47%, draw 25%, Denbigh Town 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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