Pontardawe Town FC 0-1 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.17
Over 2.5
70%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.31
No
31%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
30%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.0pp
70%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.0pp
69%
BTTS Yes
72%
-3.1pp
31%
BTTS No
28%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.38/2.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/2.05
+23% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontardawe Town FC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Trefelin
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.08.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 1-5 HT 1-2 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
10.04.2023 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontardawe Town FC vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin edged past Pontardawe Town FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Pontardawe Town FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (69%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pontardawe Town FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Pontardawe Town FC and 1.00 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Pontardawe Town FC vs Trefelin?

Pontardawe Town FC 0-1 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontardawe Town FC vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontardawe Town FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pontardawe Town FC 47%, draw 21%, Trefelin 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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