Llantwit Major 1-1 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.32
No
44%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
-16.0pp
44%
BTTS No
28%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 38%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.66/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/2.93
-12% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
9 Corners 7
19.08.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 HT 2-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
11.03.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-2 HT 0-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
13.08.2022 Llantwit Major 0-2 HT 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
30.04.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-5 HT 0-3 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major and Cwmbran Celtic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Llantwit Major at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.25 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Llantwit Major 1-1 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 46%, draw 22%, Cwmbran Celtic 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llantwit Major), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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