North District 2-1 Hong Kong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+2% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hong Kong FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK1
12.05.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-0 HT 0-0 North District North District HK1
17.12.2023 North District North District 2-2 HT 0-1 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
2-1
AWAY Hong Kong FC
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH North District vs Hong Kong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North District edged past Hong Kong FC 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had North District as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, North District had 59% of the ball to Hong Kong FC's 41%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hong Kong FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for North District and 1.67 for Hong Kong FC.

What was the final score of North District vs Hong Kong FC?

North District 2-1 Hong Kong FC in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Hong Kong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a North District win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split North District 41%, draw 29%, Hong Kong FC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North District), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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