Cardiff City U21 1-1 Colchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
80%
-11.7pp
15%
Draw
11%
+4.0pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 11%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/3.97
-38% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
398 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City U21
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Colchester United U21
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.12.2024 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
26.02.2024 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 2-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
16.02.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 1-1 HT 0-1 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Colchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 and Colchester United U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cardiff City U21 at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cardiff City U21 and 1.00 for Colchester United U21.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Colchester United U21?

Cardiff City U21 1-1 Colchester United U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Colchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 69%, draw 15%, Colchester United U21 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff City U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →