Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 15 Mar 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
Cerezo Osaka (K)
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2025/2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) v Cerezo Osaka (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.54/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/0.36
-8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.7

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
25.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
20.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and Cerezo Osaka (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and 0.33 for Cerezo Osaka (K).

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 46%, draw 31%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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