Lietava Jonava 0-1 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

Lietava Jonava
0-1
BFA
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2025

Lietava Jonava vs BFA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lietava Jonava v BFA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 43%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.51/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.85
-67% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Lietava Jonava vs BFA Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
0W-0D-2L
AWAY BFA
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 0-3 HT 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
21.05.2023 BFA BFA 2-1 HT 1-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA edged past Lietava Jonava 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day BFA made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, BFA led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lietava Jonava and 2.50 for BFA.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs BFA?

Lietava Jonava 0-1 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 33%, draw 28%, BFA 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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