Minija 0-4 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
14%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+9.1pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.8pp
56%
Away Win
70%
-13.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 75%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -22%
0.89/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.42
-8% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
246 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
20.09.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 Minija Minija LIT1
03.05.2024 Minija Minija 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
12.08.2023 Minija Minija 2-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
24.03.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-0 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
15.10.2022 Minija Minija 1-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
10.06.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 HT 2-0 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda ran out comfortable winners over Minija 4-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minija had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Minija and 0.83 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Minija vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Minija 0-4 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Minija 23%, draw 21%, Neptüna Klaipeda 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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