Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.99/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.35
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Minija
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.05.2024 Minija Minija 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
12.08.2023 Minija Minija 2-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
24.03.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-0 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
15.10.2022 Minija Minija 1-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
10.06.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 HT 2-0 Minija Minija LIT1
16.10.2021 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 7-1 HT 1-1 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda and Minija couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Neptüna Klaipeda at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 1.00 for Minija.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Minija?

Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 56%, draw 24%, Minija 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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