Minija 2-2 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

Minija
2-2 HT 0-1
Neptüna Klaipeda
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Minija vs Neptüna Klaipeda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minija v Neptüna Klaipeda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.04/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.77
-28% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +60%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Minija vs Neptüna Klaipeda Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Minija Minija 2-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
24.03.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-0 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
15.10.2022 Minija Minija 1-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
10.06.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 HT 2-0 Minija Minija LIT1
16.10.2021 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 7-1 HT 1-1 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija and Neptüna Klaipeda couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Minija and 1.80 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Minija vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Minija 2-2 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Minija 36%, draw 28%, Neptüna Klaipeda 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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