Panevezys II 1-2 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.96/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.66
+72% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
413 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Atmosfera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.09.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 HT 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
01.05.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-3 HT 1-3 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panevezys II
1-2
AWAY Atmosfera
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera nicked a narrow win over Panevezys II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Panevezys II carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Panevezys II had 56% of the ball to Atmosfera's 44%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Panevezys II and 2.00 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Atmosfera?

Panevezys II 1-2 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panevezys II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 55%, draw 20%, Atmosfera 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Panevezys II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panevezys II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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