Be1 NFA 1-1 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
76%
-7.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.3pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 11%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.24/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.92
+2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -30%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ekranas
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 2-1 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
01.09.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-0 HT 0-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
14.04.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 2-1 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
27.08.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 0-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
1-1
AWAY Ekranas
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA and Ekranas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Be1 NFA at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 67% of the ball to Ekranas's 33%, shots finished 24-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Be1 NFA and 1.00 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Ekranas?

Be1 NFA 1-1 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 68%, draw 20%, Ekranas 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Be1 NFA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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