Nevezis vs Garliava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nevezis v Garliava — Team-Based Signals
Nevezis vs Garliava Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Garliava
LIT1
0-0
HT 0-0
Nevezis
LIT1
1-1
HT 1-0
Nevezis
LIT1
3-1
HT 2-0
Garliava
LIT1
Nevezis 1-2 Garliava — Actual Match Statistics
Garliava nicked a narrow win over Nevezis 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nevezis had 56% of the ball to Garliava's 44%, shots finished 15-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Nevezis and 0.80 for Garliava.
What was the final score of Nevezis vs Garliava?
Nevezis 1-2 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Garliava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 42%, draw 29%, Garliava 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.