Atmosfera 1-2 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 17%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.00/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.55
-9% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Panevezys II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.05.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-2 HT 0-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
03.09.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 HT 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
01.05.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-3 HT 1-3 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
1-2
AWAY Panevezys II
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II edged past Atmosfera 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Atmosfera carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Atmosfera had 67% of the ball to Panevezys II's 33%, shots finished 24-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atmosfera had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atmosfera and 1.33 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Panevezys II?

Atmosfera 1-2 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 57%, draw 22%, Panevezys II 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atmosfera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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