Ekranas 2-1 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
32%
4.34
Away
46%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.15
Over 2.5
38%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.3pp
32%
Draw
20%
+12.1pp
46%
Away Win
66%
-20.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
43%
+19.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
57%
-19.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekranas EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.44/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.53
+39% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +108%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
170 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekranas
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Be1 NFA
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-0 HT 0-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
14.04.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 2-1 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
27.08.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 0-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH Ekranas vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekranas nicked a narrow win over Be1 NFA 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Be1 NFA at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ekranas and 1.33 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Ekranas vs Be1 NFA?

Ekranas 2-1 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekranas vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 22%, draw 32%, Be1 NFA 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
4 May 2024
14:00 BFA vs FK Riteriai Analysis →
16:00 Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK BANGA II Analysis →