Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 FK BANGA II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-8.4pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FK BANGA II EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.54/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.84
-26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
433 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FK BANGA II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.10.2021 FK BANGA II 3-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2-1
AWAY FK BANGA II
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK BANGA II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II nicked a narrow win over FK BANGA II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 60% of the ball to FK BANGA II's 40%, shots finished 23-9.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK BANGA II?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 FK BANGA II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs FK BANGA II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 60%, draw 21%, FK BANGA II 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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