BFA 0-2 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 58%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.55/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.87
+56% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
0-2
AWAY FK Riteriai
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BFA vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Riteriai got the better of BFA 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Riteriai as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, BFA had 49% of the ball to FK Riteriai's 51%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of BFA vs FK Riteriai?

BFA 0-2 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split BFA 27%, draw 24%, FK Riteriai 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Riteriai), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Riteriai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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