Bourj 1-1 Shabab Al Ghazieh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

Bourj
1-1 HT 1-0
Shabab Al Ghazieh
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bourj v Shabab Al Ghazieh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourj EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ghazieh EU Bookmakers 32%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.49
-100% / -87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourj and Shabab Al Ghazieh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Bourj 1-1 Shabab Al Ghazieh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourj win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bourj 39%, draw 30%, Shabab Al Ghazieh 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bourj), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bourj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
15 Mar 2025
15:15 Shabab Baalbeck vs Tadamon Sour Analysis →
16:45 Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Nejmeh Analysis →