Shabab Baalbeck 0-4 Tadamon Sour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

Shabab Baalbeck
0-4 HT 0-0
Tadamon Sour
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2025/2026

Shabab Baalbeck vs Tadamon Sour Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
17%
3.35
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.4pp
17%
Draw
26%
-9.5pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shabab Baalbeck v Tadamon Sour — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Baalbeck EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 57%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -70% / -70%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-100% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -85%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Shabab Baalbeck vs Tadamon Sour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tadamon Sour swept aside Shabab Baalbeck 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tadamon Sour as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Shabab Baalbeck vs Tadamon Sour?

Shabab Baalbeck 0-4 Tadamon Sour in the Lebanon - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Baalbeck vs Tadamon Sour?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tadamon Sour win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shabab Baalbeck 33%, draw 17%, Tadamon Sour 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tadamon Sour), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tadamon Sour) ✓ BTTS No
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