Nieciecza 2-1 Tychy 71 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tychy 71 EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.95/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.79
+31% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
236 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tychy 71
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 0-2 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
05.07.2024 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-3 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 HAZ
19.05.2024 Nieciecza Nieciecza 6-1 HT 3-1 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
27.11.2023 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 3-2 HT 0-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
17.02.2023 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 0-1 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
01.08.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-2 HT 0-1 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
2-1
AWAY Tychy 71
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Tychy 71
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza edged past Tychy 71 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nieciecza as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 55% of the ball to Tychy 71's 45%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nieciecza and 1.50 for Tychy 71.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Tychy 71?

Nieciecza 2-1 Tychy 71 in the Poland - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Tychy 71?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 42%, draw 27%, Tychy 71 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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