Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3-0 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2025

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3-0 HT 2-0
SKRA Czestochowa
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs SKRA Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.52
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.85 — our 28% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-12.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.8pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki v SKRA Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 15%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.51/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.04
-31% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs SKRA Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1W-0D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
16.08.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-2 HT 0-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
04.12.2021 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-2 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
15.08.2021 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 HT 2-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3-0 SKRA Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3-0
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki cruised past SKRA Czestochowa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 53% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 47%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and 1.33 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3-0 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 57%, draw 20%, SKRA Czestochowa 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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